FLIPR 2026 Senate forecast

Models & Forecasts

FLIPR 2026 Senate forecast

Silver Bulletin's prediction for every Senate election in 2026.

Nate Silver

and

Eli McKown-Dawson

Oct 17, 2026

∙

Paid

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📈 Our latest Senate forecast

Updated October 17, 2026

ELSEWHERE IN FLIPR:

Topline forecast —>

House forecast —>

Governors forecast —>

This is the landing page the FLIPR

1

2026 Senate forecast.

2

This page is designed to be

viewed on the web

rather than in our email client or in the Substack app.

The Senate polls

The Silver Bulletin polling averages are the

first step in FLIPR

, so we reproduce them on every page. We draw most of the election polls used in our model from

The New York Times poll database

3

, but collect

generic ballot

and congressional approval polls ourselves.

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The Senate forecast

Below, you’ll find our forecast for each 2026 Senate race, along with how our numbers have changed over time and which states are likeliest to decide control of the chamber.

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