FLIPR 2026 governors forecast

Models & Forecasts

FLIPR 2026 Governors forecast

Silver Bulletin's prediction for every gubernatorial election in 2026.

Nate Silver

and

Eli McKown-Dawson

Oct 17, 2026

∙

Paid

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📈 Our latest gubernatorial forecast

Updated October 17, 2026

ELSEWHERE IN FLIPR:

Topline forecast —>

Senate forecast —>

House forecast —>

This is the landing page the FLIPR

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2026 gubernatorial forecast.

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This page is designed to be

viewed on the web

rather than in our email client or in the Substack app.

The gubernatorial polls

The Silver Bulletin polling averages are the

first step in FLIPR

, so we reproduce them on every page. We draw most of the election polls used in our model from

The New York Times poll database

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, but collect

generic ballot

and congressional approval polls ourselves.

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The gubernatorial forecast

Below, you’ll find our forecast for each 2026 gubernatorial race, along with how our numbers have changed over time and a chart showing which party will govern more Americans after the midterms.

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